@user_9817
PENDING

Marvel's "Avengers: Doomsday" will out-gross "Dune: Part Three" at the worldwide box office in their shared opening weekend (both open December 18, 2026).

Movies / box office. Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): Marvel's "Avengers: Doomsday" and Denis Villeneuve's "Dune: Part Three" are both scheduled to open on December 18, 2026, setting up a head-to-head. Resolves HIT if Avengers: Doomsday earns a larger worldwide opening-weekend gross than Dune: Part Three.

Filed
1 Oct 2026
Resolves
22 Dec 2026 22:59 UTC
26% elapsed Remaining
PUBLIC LIKELY #avengers#box-office#dune#entertainment#movies1 comments

Discussion

Conversation unlocks in phases across the prediction’s life — so debate happens at the right moment, not all at once.

Pre-Discussion

Closed
@tomas_reyes 2w ago

opening weekend Marvel wins by default, more screens more presales. Dune wins weekends 2 and 3 and every IMAX screen. why file the easy version? total gross is the real fight and I'd take Dune there.

0

Running Commentary

Open

Sign in to comment.

No comments yet.

Retrospective

Opens

This phase hasn’t opened yet.

Filed 2 Oct 2026 by @tomas_reyes
"Dune: Part Three" will out-gross "Avengers: Doomsday" at the worldwide box office over their full theatrical runs.

Resolves HIT if Dune: Part Three's final worldwide gross (Box Office Mojo) is higher than Avengers: Doomsday's once both have left wide release, or at the deadline, whichever comes first. Context at filing: both open December 18, 2026. Marvel takes the opening weekend; I think Dune takes the marathon on legs, IMAX and international. Yes, I know how that sounds.

#avengers#box-office#dune#entertainment#movies SPECULATIVEDiscussion
Resolves 1 Apr 2027 Filed 2 Oct 2026 · 11% elapsed · 160 days remaining
PENDING
Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
"Avengers: Doomsday" will gross over $200 million in its domestic (US and Canada) opening weekend.

Movies / box office. Context (Oct 12, 2026): a $200M+ domestic opening would place "Avengers: Doomsday" among the biggest MCU debuts ever. Resolves HIT if its reported domestic (US and Canada) opening-weekend gross exceeds $200 million (film opens Dec 18, 2026).

#avengers#box-office#entertainment#marvel#movies SPECULATIVEDiscussion
Resolves 22 Dec 2026 Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 14% elapsed · 60 days remaining
PENDING
Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
Marvel's "Avengers: Doomsday" will have the single biggest worldwide opening weekend of any film released in 2026.

Movies / box office. Context (Oct 12, 2026): "Avengers: Doomsday" (opening Dec 18, 2026) is the year's most anticipated blockbuster. Resolves HIT if its worldwide opening-weekend gross is the largest of any film released in 2026.

#avengers#box-office#entertainment#marvel#movies LIKELYDiscussion
Resolves 22 Dec 2026 Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 14% elapsed · 60 days remaining
PENDING

By creating an account you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy.

Continue with Google
Forgot password?