Hitonot

Baseball (MLB). Context (Oct 12, 2026): the top-seeded Tampa Bay Rays, who swept the Yankees in the ALDS, face the Cleveland Guardians in the ALCS (series just beginning). Resolves HIT if Tampa Bay wins the ALCS and advances to the World Series.

Baseball (MLB). Context (Oct 12, 2026): the Milwaukee Brewers (MLB-best 103-59 record, NL #1 seed) lead the Los Angeles Dodgers 1-0 in the NLCS. Resolves HIT if Milwaukee wins the NLCS and advances to the World Series.

Resolves hit if Valve releases a new Dota 2 gameplay patch (per the official Dota 2 patch notes / dota2.com/patches) between Oct 19 and Oct 25, 2026, Central Time. Otherwise miss. Source: u/Pantsushooter999 on r/DotA2, post "Patch will drop this week" (https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/s/uyEDVNepk1).

Confirmed via official SpaceX webcast footage or press release on the operator's site confirming a successful booster catch.

Boxing. Context (Oct 12, 2026): WBC junior middleweight champion Sebastian Fundora is a heavy favorite (around -1000) in his Oct 17 title defense against unbeaten Ermal Hadribeaj in Carson, California. Resolves HIT if Fundora wins by any means.

Boxing. Context (Oct 12, 2026): Dubois (23-3, 22 KOs) stopped Wardley in the 11th round in May 2026 to take the WBO heavyweight title; he is a heavy betting favorite (around -500) in the Oct 17 rematch at The O2 in London. Resolves HIT if Dubois wins by any means (decision, stoppage, DQ, or technical decision).

Prediction about Georgia's 2026 U.S. Senate race. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff is up for re-election in a competitive battleground; the seat is one of the key contests deciding Senate control. Resolves on official results: HIT if Ossoff wins re-election.

Prediction of a full Democratic sweep of Congress in the November 3, 2026 midterms. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): Republicans control both chambers; Democrats need +3 in the House and +4 in the Senate. Prediction markets price a full Democratic sweep as the leading outcome (~65% on Polymarket). Resolves on official results: HIT only if Democrats win control of BOTH the House and the Senate.

Baseball (MLB). Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): the 2026 MLB playoffs are underway and the Los Angeles Dodgers are the clear betting favorites (around +200 to +230) as they chase a third straight World Series title (a three-peat, which has not happened since the 2000-2002 Yankees). Resolves HIT if the Dodgers win the 2026 World Series.

Prediction about NVIDIA's market position. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): NVIDIA has been among the world's most valuable public companies on the back of the AI boom. Resolves HIT if NVIDIA is the single most valuable publicly traded company by market capitalization at the close of December 31, 2026.

Boxing. Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): Canelo Alvarez returns after more than a year out to challenge WBC super middleweight champion Christian Mbilli in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on October 31, 2026. Resolves HIT if Canelo wins the fight by any means (decision, stoppage, technical decision, or DQ).

Motorsport (Formula 1). Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): after 15 of 23 rounds, Mercedes driver Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 Drivers' Championship by roughly 66 points over teammate George Russell, following a breakout season. Resolves HIT if Antonelli is crowned 2026 Formula 1 World Drivers' Champion at season's end.

Movies / box office. Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): Marvel's "Avengers: Doomsday" and Denis Villeneuve's "Dune: Part Three" are both scheduled to open on December 18, 2026, setting up a head-to-head. Resolves HIT if Avengers: Doomsday earns a larger worldwide opening-weekend gross than Dune: Part Three.

Bullish recovery prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000, down from its all-time high near $126,000 (Oct 2025). Prediction markets price "above $100k in 2026" at roughly 38%. Resolves HIT if BTC trades at or above $100,000 (intraday or close) at any point before the deadline.

Source: https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSb6UH9nG/ Note: Christian Horner might be the next Ferrari team principal.

Prediction about OpenAI's next major model generation. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): OpenAI is shipping the GPT-6 family (GPT-6 Astra released Sep 3, plus cheaper siblings GPT-6 Sol and Luna on Sep 22). Resolves HIT if OpenAI publicly releases a model officially branded "GPT-7" before the deadline.

Resolves HIT if no Ferrari driver is classified P1 in any of the remaining 2026 Grands Prix (sprint races don't count). Context at filing: eight rounds left, Ferrari has podiums but no win, and Monza, the one track that suited the car, is gone. I'm a tifoso. I would love to lose this one.

Resolves HIT if Dune: Part Three's final worldwide gross (Box Office Mojo) is higher than Avengers: Doomsday's once both have left wide release, or at the deadline, whichever comes first. Context at filing: both open December 18, 2026. Marvel takes the opening weekend; I think Dune takes the marathon on legs, IMAX and international. Yes, I know how that sounds.

Contrarian prediction about Michigan's open 2026 U.S. Senate seat. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): the seat is open after Democrat Gary Peters announced his retirement, making it one of Republicans' genuine flip opportunities, though Michigan leans Democratic. Resolves on official results: HIT if a Republican wins the seat.

Prediction about control of the U.S. Senate after the November 3, 2026 elections. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority; Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats. Markets (Polymarket) price a full Democratic sweep as the leading outcome (~65%), with key races in Georgia, Michigan, Texas and North Carolina deciding control. Resolves on official results: HIT if Democrats hold a governing majority of 51+ seats (including independents who caucus with them).