Hitonot

Make a time-bound prediction, discuss it, resolve it.

Case HIT

In 1862, Darwin examined a Madagascar orchid with an 11-inch nectar spur and predicted a moth with a proboscis long enough to reach it. Many were skeptical. In 1903, the moth was found and its subspecies named praedicta — "the predicted one." The best predictions take patience.

Filed 1862 Resolved 1903 41 years
Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
The Milwaukee Brewers will win the 2026 National League pennant and advance to the World Series.

Baseball (MLB). Context (Oct 12, 2026): the Milwaukee Brewers (MLB-best 103-59 record, NL #1 seed) lead the Los Angeles Dodgers 1-0 in the NLCS. Resolves HIT if Milwaukee wins the NLCS and advances to the World Series.

Resolves 22 Oct 2026 TARGET PASSED Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 100% elapsed · target passed
PENDING
Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
The Tampa Bay Rays will win the 2026 American League pennant and advance to the World Series.

Baseball (MLB). Context (Oct 12, 2026): the top-seeded Tampa Bay Rays, who swept the Yankees in the ALDS, face the Cleveland Guardians in the ALCS (series just beginning). Resolves HIT if Tampa Bay wins the ALCS and advances to the World Series.

Resolves 22 Oct 2026 TARGET PASSED Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 100% elapsed · target passed
PENDING
Filed 19 Oct 2026 by @dankReshared from u/Pantsushooter999 on r/DotA2 — https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/s/uyEDVNepk1
A new Dota 2 patch will be released this week (by Sunday, Oct 25, 2026).

Resolves hit if Valve releases a new Dota 2 gameplay patch (per the official Dota 2 patch notes / dota2.com/patches) between Oct 19 and Oct 25, 2026, Central Time. Otherwise miss. Source: u/Pantsushooter999 on r/DotA2, post "Patch will drop this week" (https://www.reddit.com/r/DotA2/s/uyEDVNepk1).

Resolves 26 Oct 2026 Filed 19 Oct 2026 · 51% elapsed · 3 days remaining
PENDING
Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
Sebastian Fundora will defeat Ermal Hadribeaj to retain his WBC junior middleweight title on October 17, 2026 in Carson, California.

Boxing. Context (Oct 12, 2026): WBC junior middleweight champion Sebastian Fundora is a heavy favorite (around -1000) in his Oct 17 title defense against unbeaten Ermal Hadribeaj in Carson, California. Resolves HIT if Fundora wins by any means.

Resolves 18 Oct 2026 TARGET PASSED Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 100% elapsed · target passed
PENDING
Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
Daniel Dubois will defeat Fabio Wardley to retain the WBO world heavyweight title in their rematch on October 17, 2026 at The O2 in London.

Boxing. Context (Oct 12, 2026): Dubois (23-3, 22 KOs) stopped Wardley in the 11th round in May 2026 to take the WBO heavyweight title; he is a heavy betting favorite (around -500) in the Oct 17 rematch at The O2 in London. Resolves HIT if Dubois wins by any means (decision, stoppage, DQ, or technical decision).

Resolves 18 Oct 2026 TARGET PASSED Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 100% elapsed · target passed
PENDING

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