@user_9817
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Kimi Antonelli will win the 2026 Formula 1 World Drivers' Championship.

Motorsport (Formula 1). Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): after 15 of 23 rounds, Mercedes driver Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 Drivers' Championship by roughly 66 points over teammate George Russell, following a breakout season. Resolves HIT if Antonelli is crowned 2026 Formula 1 World Drivers' Champion at season's end.

Filed
1 Oct 2026
Resolves
13 Dec 2026 22:59 UTC
29% elapsed Remaining
PUBLIC LIKELY #antonelli#f1#formula-1#motorsport#sports1 comments

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@marco_bellini 3w ago

LIKELY is cowardly. 66 points, 8 rounds, only threat is his teammate and Merc won't swap them. Unless he DNFs three times this is CONFIDENT territory. Forza Kimi.

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Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
Kimi Antonelli will clinch the 2026 Formula 1 World Drivers' Championship before the season finale in Abu Dhabi.

Formula 1. Context (Oct 12, 2026): Antonelli leads the drivers' championship by roughly 102 points over teammate George Russell with about five rounds remaining. Resolves HIT if Antonelli mathematically secures the title before the final race of the season (the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix).

#antonelli#f1#formula-1#mercedes#motorsport LIKELYDiscussion
Resolves 13 Dec 2026 Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 16% elapsed · 51 days remaining
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Filed 12 Oct 2026 by @user_9817
Mercedes will win the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship.

Formula 1. Context (Oct 12, 2026): Mercedes drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell sit 1st and 2nd in the drivers' standings and Mercedes holds a commanding constructors' lead with roughly five rounds remaining. Resolves HIT if Mercedes finishes the 2026 season as Constructors' Champion.

#constructors#f1#formula-1#mercedes#motorsport LIKELYDiscussion
Resolves 13 Dec 2026 Filed 12 Oct 2026 · 16% elapsed · 51 days remaining
PENDING
Filed 27 Sep 2026 by @marco_bellini
Ferrari will end the 2026 Formula 1 season without a Grand Prix win, their first winless year since 2021.

Resolves HIT if no Ferrari driver is classified P1 in any of the remaining 2026 Grands Prix (sprint races don't count). Context at filing: eight rounds left, Ferrari has podiums but no win, and Monza, the one track that suited the car, is gone. I'm a tifoso. I would love to lose this one.

#f1#ferrari#formula1#motorsport LIKELYDiscussion
Resolves 13 Dec 2026 Filed 27 Sep 2026 · 32% elapsed · 51 days remaining
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