Counts as a hit if the official Apple System Status page or major system status aggregators log a global outage exceeding 30 minutes between September 14 and September 16, 2026.
Conversation unlocks in phases across the prediction’s life — so debate happens at the right moment, not all at once.
Sign in to comment.
Prediction about NVIDIA's market position. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): NVIDIA has been among the world's most valuable public companies on the back of the AI boom. Resolves HIT if NVIDIA is the single most valuable publicly traded company by market capitalization at the close of December 31, 2026.
Prediction about Anthropic going public. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): there is press reporting on Anthropic's corporate/governance structure and IPO speculation. Resolves HIT if Anthropic completes an initial public offering (shares begin trading on a public stock exchange) before the deadline.
Prediction about Anthropic's next major model generation. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): Anthropic's current top line is Claude Opus 5.5 (released Sep 22). Resolves HIT if Anthropic publicly releases a next-generation model officially branded "Claude Opus 6" before the deadline.
Prediction about Google's next major model generation. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): Google's current line is Gemini 3.x (Gemini 3.8 Flash released Sep 2). Resolves HIT if Google publicly releases a next-generation flagship model officially branded "Gemini 4" before the deadline.
Prediction about OpenAI's next major model generation. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): OpenAI is shipping the GPT-6 family (GPT-6 Astra released Sep 3, plus cheaper siblings GPT-6 Sol and Luna on Sep 22). Resolves HIT if OpenAI publicly releases a model officially branded "GPT-7" before the deadline.
No comments yet.