Year-end snapshot prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000. Resolves HIT if BTC's price on December 31, 2026 (year-end close) is below $90,000.
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Longer-horizon bullish recovery prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000; its all-time high is roughly $126,000 (Oct 2025). Resolves HIT if BTC exceeds $126,000 (a new all-time high) at any point on or before December 31, 2027.
Prediction that Bitcoin will not set a new all-time high in 2026. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000; its all-time high is roughly $126,000 (Oct 2025). Prediction markets price "$150k before Jan 2027" at only ~5%, and a fresh ATH remains a minority outcome. Resolves HIT if BTC does NOT exceed $126,000 at any point on or before December 31, 2026.
Bearish prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000 after rebounding from ~$77,000 earlier in September; rising bond yields and rate-hike fears are pressuring risk assets. Resolves HIT if BTC trades at or below $70,000 (intraday or close) at any point before the deadline.
Bullish recovery prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000, down from its all-time high near $126,000 (Oct 2025). Prediction markets price "above $100k in 2026" at roughly 38%. Resolves HIT if BTC trades at or above $100,000 (intraday or close) at any point before the deadline.
Resolve YES if the BTC/USD daily close on CoinGecko for August 8, 2026 is at least $115,000; otherwise resolve NO.
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