Bitcoin (BTC) will NOT set a new all-time high (it will not exceed $126,000) at any point before December 31, 2026.

Longer-horizon bullish recovery prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000; its all-time high is roughly $126,000 (Oct 2025). Resolves HIT if BTC exceeds $126,000 (a new all-time high) at any point on or before December 31, 2027.

Year-end snapshot prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000. Resolves HIT if BTC's price on December 31, 2026 (year-end close) is below $90,000.

Bearish prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000 after rebounding from ~$77,000 earlier in September; rising bond yields and rate-hike fears are pressuring risk assets. Resolves HIT if BTC trades at or below $70,000 (intraday or close) at any point before the deadline.

Bullish recovery prediction. Context at filing (Sep 25, 2026): BTC trades around $84,000, down from its all-time high near $126,000 (Oct 2025). Prediction markets price "above $100k in 2026" at roughly 38%. Resolves HIT if BTC trades at or above $100,000 (intraday or close) at any point before the deadline.

Resolve YES if the BTC/USD daily close on CoinGecko for August 8, 2026 is at least $115,000; otherwise resolve NO.