Filed 8 Sep 2026 by @jwhitaker
Republicans will hold at least 50 U.S. Senate seats after the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
Resolves HIT if Republicans, plus any independents who caucus with them, hold 50 or more seats when the 120th Congress is seated (Georgia's runoff counts if there is one). Context at filing: Democrats need a net +4; the realistic flip map is Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and Texas while defending Georgia and Michigan. Markets have a Democratic Senate as the favourite. I don't.
Resolves 5 Jan 2027 Filed 8 Sep 2026 · 37% elapsed · 74 days remaining
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