#economy

Economy / bond markets. Context (Oct 12, 2026): the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to its highest level since 2007 amid rate-hike expectations. Resolves HIT if the 10-year yield trades above 5.0% at any point before the deadline.

Economy / monetary policy. Context (Oct 12, 2026): markets have shifted toward pricing Federal Reserve rate hikes amid rising bond yields and fuel-driven inflation. Resolves HIT only if the FOMC raises the federal funds target range at BOTH its October and December 2026 meetings.

Economy / monetary policy. Context at filing (Oct 1, 2026): markets have shifted toward pricing in Federal Reserve rate hikes amid rising bond yields (10-year Treasury at its highest since 2007) and fuel-driven inflation. Resolves HIT if the FOMC announces an increase to the federal funds target range at its December 2026 meeting.